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Resources › Econometrics › 17. The Test Atlas
Econometrics · Lesson 17 of 18

Which test? The Test Atlas

The earlier lessons have met a test for almost every ailment a regression can have. Exam papers ask for them as a list to be matched: this symptom, which test? This lesson puts them in one place with, for each, the null hypothesis, the distribution, the decision rule and the remedy. It then teaches the three the earlier lessons did not: the Chow test, normality tests, and the steps of econometric methodology.

← Econometrics moduleLesson 17 of 18 · about 40 minutes
1Multiple regression2Matrix form and Gauss-Markov3t and F tests4R² and adjusted R²5Dummies and interactions6Functional forms7Misspecification8Multicollinearity9Heteroscedasticity10Autocorrelation11Instrumental variables12Simultaneous equations13Panel data14Logit and probit15Unit roots16ARMA, VAR and cointegration17Test Atlas18Hard problems
A question to hold on to
Match List I with List II. List I: (A) general heteroscedasticity test; (B) general test for autocorrelation; (C) test of simultaneity; (D) general test of specification error. List II: (I) Ramsey; (II) Hausman; (III) White; (IV) Breusch-Godfrey. Choose the correct code.
UGC NET June 2024Solved at the end ↓
In this guide
Lesson · about 40 minutes
  1. The Test Atlas
  2. Symptom to test
  3. The Chow test
  4. Testing for normality
  5. The steps of econometric methodology
  6. Match the lists
  7. The opening question, solved
  8. The lesson on one screen
  9. Check yourself
  10. Past papers, by level
01
Reference

The Test Atlas

Every test in this module, 29 of them, with what it looks for. Filter by the kind of problem, or search by a name or a symptom, and open a card for the null hypothesis, the statistic and its distribution, how to decide, and what to do next. The last line of each card links to the lesson that teaches it.

Four questions sort any test: what is the null? (usually that nothing is wrong, but KPSS and Farrar-Glauber differ in what the null states), what does rejecting mean?, what distribution gives the cutoff? (t, F, chi-square, or a special table such as Dickey-Fuller’s), and what do I do next?

29 tests

In economics

Three other items turn up in the same matching lists because the lists mix statistics and econometrics: chi-square test of independence, f test for several means (anova), power of a test. The chi-square test of independence is the test for a contingency table (cross-tabulation); the F test for several means compares group averages; the power of a test is one minus the probability of a type II error. They belong to the statistical inference module.

02
Choosing

Symptom to test

The same material turned round: what you see, and the test that looks into it. The last column is the lesson that teaches it.

What you seeTestLesson
The residuals fan out as a variable risesBreusch-Pagan, White, Goldfeld-Quandt (Park or Glejser if one variable is suspected)9
The residuals run in streaks above and below zeroDurbin-Watson; Breusch-Godfrey if there is a lagged dependent variable or the order is above one10
High R² and a significant F, but weak t ratiosVariance inflation factors, Klein's rule, Farrar-Glauber8
Something is wrong with the form of the modelRamsey RESET7
The coefficients may differ between two groups or before and after a dateChow (date known); Bai-Perron (dates unknown)Below
A regressor may be tangled up with the errorHausman test against an instrumental-variables fit; Sargan for surplus instruments11
A panel has an individual effectHausman test for fixed against random effects13
A series trends over timeDickey-Fuller (null: unit root), KPSS (null: stationary)15
Two trending series may share a long-run relationshipEngle-Granger on the levels-regression residual16
Do past values of x help predict y?Granger causality F test (stationary series)16
Are the residuals normal?Jarque-Bera; Shapiro-Wilk in small samplesBelow
Does a model with a 0/1 outcome fit?Likelihood-ratio test and the count R²14

Ten symptoms, one at a time. The reason under each is the rule to keep.

Which test? · 1 of 10
A residual plot fans out as income rises, and no one variable is to blame. Which test fits?
03
Interactive

The Chow test

Do two groups, or two periods, follow the same regression line? Fit the regression once to everyone (the restricted model: one set of coefficients) and once to each group separately (the unrestricted model: two sets). If the separate fits reduce the residual sum of squares by more than chance would, the groups differ. That is an F test of the kind lesson 3 taught, with k restrictions, one for each coefficient (the intercept included) being forced equal:

The Chow statistic
F=(RSS1​+RSS2​)/(n−2k)(RSSpooled​−RSS1​−RSS2​)/k​∼F(k,n−2k)
k is the number of parameters in one regression, intercept included. There are two groups of sizes n₁ and n₂, with n = n₁ + n₂.

The exam’s version lists the steps: run the pooled regression and keep its residual sum of squares; run the two sub-sample regressions and keep both; compute F; look up the critical F; do not reject the null if the calculated F is below it. That order, with the decision rule last, is the answer to UGC NET December 2023 Q81, and it is the order in which the lab below displays its table.

In the survey the lab splits the households three ways and fits three equations. Try each combination before reading on.

HouseholdsResidual SS
Pooled6007,875
Village3564,319.1
Town2443,140.2
Chow F16.61
Degrees of freedom2 and 596
p-valuebelow 0.0001
Dummy-and-interactions F16.61
At 5%reject: the lines differ
2468101214165101520253035

Horizontal: years of schooling. Vertical: monthly earnings (thousands of rupees).

VillageTownPooled line
What it shows

Fitting one line to everyone leaves a residual sum of squares of 7,875; fitting a separate line to each group leaves 7,459.3. The Chow statistic is the fall, per parameter, against the split fit’s own variance: F = 16.61 on 2 and 596 degrees of freedom, p < 0.0001. The last cell is the same number reached as an F test that a dummy and its interactions are all zero in one pooled regression. In this survey the town and village lines differ by a real shift in the intercept (urban households earn and spend more at the same level of the other variables), so the test rightly rejects. It cannot say whether the intercept or a slope moved.

For earnings on schooling, splitting by town and village gives F = 16.61 on 2 and 596 degrees of freedom (p < 0.0001), and splitting the file into halves gives F = 1.47 (p = 0.23). The first reflects the survey’s real design (the town’s earnings sit higher at the same schooling, with the same true slope). The second is the control: the file is in no particular order, so there is no break to find.

The same test with dummies. Add a dummy for the second group and its interaction with every regressor to one pooled regression, then test that all of them are zero with the F test for restrictions. The statistic is identical to the Chow F, as the two last cells of the lab show. The dummy version is the one to use when you want to know which coefficient moved (lesson 5), or want robust standard errors.

Watch out for

The mistakes examiners are fishing for

  • Choosing the split after looking at the data. The test assumes the break date or group is known in advance. If you search for the date that gives the largest F, the usual critical values are too small. For several breaks at unknown dates, use Bai-Perron (or CUSUM-type tests).
  • Reading a rejection as a change in slope. The test rejects if the intercept alone differs, as in the town and village split. It tests that every coefficient is equal, jointly.
  • Equal error variances. The test assumes both groups have the same error variance. If they do not, the F is not exact; compare the two residual variances first (a Goldfeld-Quandt-style F).
  • An omitted variable that mimics a break. Spending on income alone, split by household size, rejects strongly; add size to the equation and the break disappears. A “structural break” can be a missing variable.
04
Interactive

Testing for normality

Lesson 2 said the classical assumptions need no normality for OLS to be the best linear unbiased estimator, and that normal errors are needed for exact t and F distributions in small samples. How do we check? Two common tests, both with the null hypothesis that the errors are normal:

  • Jarque-Bera measures the residuals’ skewness S (zero for a normal) and kurtosis K (three for a normal) and adds up the departures. It is chi-square with two degrees of freedom under the null, so the 5% cutoff is 5.99.
  • Shapiro-Wilk compares the ordered data with the order statistics a normal sample would give. It is a better choice in small samples, and is the other correct answer in GATE 2023 Q41.
The Jarque-Bera statistic
JB=n[6S2​+24(K−3)2​]∼χ2(2)
S is the third standardised moment and K the fourth. Each departure is squared, so skewing right or left counts alike, and the factor n makes the test more powerful as the sample grows.

Try the lab with the survey’s residuals (normal by construction, so they should pass), then with the three simulated shapes, and watch how the verdict and the rejection rate depend on the sample size.

Skewness S1.34
Kurtosis K4.27
Jarque-Bera22.04
p-valuebelow 0.0001
At 5% (cutoff 5.99)reject normality
Rejects in 1,000 such samples98.6%
−4−3−2−112340.20.40.60.8

Horizontal: the value in standard deviations from the mean. Vertical: density. The red curve is the normal distribution.

What it shows

60 draws give skewness 1.34 and kurtosis 4.27 (a normal has 0 and 3), so JB = 22.04 and p < 0.0001. The statistic adds the two departures, each squared and scaled by the sample size, so it grows with n: the same shape is easier to detect in a large sample. Across 1,000 fresh samples of this size and kind, the 5% test rejects 98.6% of them.

The table gives the share of 1,000 samples in which a 5% Jarque-Bera test rejects normality, by the true shape and the sample size.

True shape of the errorsn = 20n = 50n = 100n = 300
Normal errors2.2%4.2%4.6%5.5%
Skewed (exponential)48.3%95.5%100%100%
Heavy tails (t, 3 df)33.1%68.2%90.9%99.9%
Light tails (uniform)0.1%0%55.4%100%

Read down the first row: with truly normal errors the test should reject 5% of the time, and it does so only in large samples, because the chi-square cutoff is a large-sample approximation. Read down the others: it finds a skew very quickly, heavy tails more slowly, and light tails (the uniform) slowly indeed. A pass is therefore weak evidence of normality in a small sample, and normality matters most exactly there.

Watch out for

The mistakes examiners are fishing for

  • Testing the variable instead of the residuals. The assumption is about the errors, so the test is run on the residuals of the fitted regression. Income may be skewed while the errors are normal.
  • Treating a rejection as fatal. In a large sample the t and F tests are approximately right without normality (the central limit theorem). In a small one, try a transformation such as logs before anything else.
  • Mixing up the neighbours. Breusch-Godfrey (autocorrelation) and Park (heteroscedasticity) were the two wrong options next to the normality tests in GATE 2023 Q41.
05
The big picture

The steps of econometric methodology

The questions on methodology ask for the order of the steps from theory to policy. The standard list, in the order a textbook such as Gujarati’s Basic Econometrics gives it:

  1. 1
    Statement of theory or hypothesis

    Start from an economic idea, such as Keynes's claim that consumption rises with income by less than the rise in income.

  2. 2
    Specification of the mathematical model of the theory

    Write it as an exact relation between variables, with no error: consumption = a + b × income.

  3. 3
    Specification of the statistical, or econometric, model

    Allow for the other influences and for randomness by adding an error term: consumption = a + b × income + u. This is the model that can be estimated.

  4. 4
    Obtaining the data

    Collect the series or the survey. Its quality limits everything that follows.

  5. 5
    Estimation of the parameters of the econometric model

    Fit the model, usually by least squares, to get the coefficients and their standard errors.

  6. 6
    Hypothesis testing

    Test the theory's claims: is b positive, is it below one? Run the diagnostic tests of this lesson too.

  7. 7
    Forecasting or prediction

    Use the fitted model to predict outcomes beyond the data.

  8. 8
    Using the model for control or policy purposes

    Use the model to choose a policy, such as a tax change, or to control a variable.

An exam item may list only some of these, as UGC NET June 2026 Q73 does (theory, mathematical model, econometric model, data, hypothesis testing). The order is what counts: theory first, then the mathematical form, then the statistical form with its error term, then data, then estimation and testing.

Put in order

Arrange the steps of econometric methodology, first to last

Tap the steps in the order they happen. Tap “Undo” to take the last one back.

Steps, shuffled
Your order
  1.  
  2.  
  3.  
  4.  
  5.  
  6.  
06
Practice the format

Match the lists

Matching lists are a regular format in UGC NET, and they appear in CUET and JNU too. They are quick when you have the atlas in your head, and hard to guess. Two habits help. Anchor on the pair you are sure of (Durbin-Watson with autocorrelation, say) and strike the options that disagree. Watch for the near-synonym trap: Breusch-Godfrey and Durbin-Watson both test autocorrelation, but one is “general”; White is the general test of heteroscedasticity and Goldfeld-Quandt is not.

Match the lists

Match each test with what it is for

Pick the numeral for each test. Each numeral is used once, as in the exam’s answer codes.

No sets tried yet
List I · Test
ABreusch-Pagan
BFarrar-Glauber
CHausman test (endogeneity)
DCount R²
List II · What it is for
  1. IShare of correct predictions in a logit
  2. IITest of simultaneity (is a regressor endogenous?)
  3. IIIMulticollinearity: determinant of the correlation matrix
  4. IVHeteroscedasticity linked to the regressors (LM test)
What to say in an exam

Name the problem, then the test, then say what rejecting means. Autocorrelation: Durbin-Watson (first order) or Breusch-Godfrey (general). Heteroscedasticity: White or Breusch-Pagan (general), Goldfeld-Quandt (two ends), Park and Glejser (one variable). Specification: RESET. Endogeneity: Hausman. Unit root: Dickey-Fuller. Cointegration: Engle-Granger. Normality: Jarque-Bera. Stable coefficients across groups: Chow.

07
Solving the opening question

The opening question, solved

UGC NET June 2024 · hard
Match: (A) general heteroscedasticity test; (B) general test for autocorrelation; (C) test of simultaneity; (D) general test of specification error, against (I) Ramsey; (II) Hausman; (III) White; (IV) Breusch-Godfrey.
  1. 1
    Take the pairs you are sure of.
    “General test of specification error” is RESET, Ramsey’s test: D with I. “General heteroscedasticity test” is White’s, which adds squares and cross-products so it needs no form in advance: A with III.
  2. 2
    Then the autocorrelation test.
    “General test for autocorrelation” is Breusch-Godfrey, general because it takes any order and lagged dependent variables: B with IV.
  3. 3
    What is left must fit.
    Hausman is left for “test of simultaneity”: C with II. This is the Hausman specification test for an endogenous regressor (lesson 11), the same name as the panel-data test of lesson 13.
  4. 4
    Read off the code.
    A-III, B-IV, C-II, D-I, which is option C in the paper.
Answer
(C): A-III, B-IV, C-II, D-I.
08
Revise

The lesson on one screen

The lesson on one screen
Four questions
For any test: its null, what a rejection means, the distribution that gives the cutoff, and the next step.
Heteroscedasticity
Park and Glejser (one variable), Goldfeld-Quandt (two ends of the sample), Breusch-Pagan (regressors), White (general). n R² ~ chi-square for the last two.
Autocorrelation
Durbin-Watson (first order, not with a lagged dependent variable), Breusch-Godfrey (general), Ljung-Box (a series or ARMA residuals).
Collinearity
VIF, Klein's rule (auxiliary R² above overall R²), Farrar-Glauber (determinant of the correlation matrix).
Form and structure
RESET (general), Chow (known split, F with k and n − 2k), Bai-Perron (several breaks at unknown dates).
Endogeneity and panels
Hausman (OLS against IV; fixed against random effects), Sargan (surplus instruments), first-stage F above about 10.
Time series
Dickey-Fuller (null: unit root), KPSS (null: stationary), Engle-Granger (null: no cointegration), Granger F, Ljung-Box.
Normality
Jarque-Bera: n[S² ÷ 6 + (K − 3)² ÷ 24], chi-square with 2 df, cutoff 5.99. Shapiro-Wilk for small samples. Run on the residuals.
Methodology
Theory, mathematical model, econometric model, data, estimation, hypothesis testing, forecasting, policy.
09
Practice

Check yourself

0 of 12 correct so far

Compute

A Chow statistic
A regression with an intercept and two slopes (k = 3) is run on 64 observations: pooled residual sum of squares 120. Split into two groups of 30 and 34, the residual sums of squares are 40 and 50. Find the Chow F statistic.
A Jarque-Bera statistic
A regression on 100 observations has residuals with skewness 0.5 and kurtosis 3.5. Find the Jarque-Bera statistic. (The 5% chi-square cutoff with 2 df is 5.99.)
A Breusch-Pagan statistic
The regression of squared residuals on two regressors, from a sample of 200, has R² = 0.06. Find the Breusch-Pagan LM statistic. (The 5% chi-square cutoff with 2 df is 5.99.)
A Sargan statistic
An equation has two instruments for one endogenous regressor. In a sample of 100, the regression of the 2SLS residuals on all the exogenous variables and instruments has R² = 0.04. Find the Sargan statistic. (The 5% chi-square cutoff with 1 df is 3.84.)
A likelihood-ratio statistic
A logit with three regressors has log-likelihood −210. The same logit with none of them (constant only) has −222. Find the likelihood-ratio statistic. (The 5% chi-square cutoff with 3 df is 7.81.)
Degrees of freedom of a Chow test
A regression has an intercept and four slopes and is fitted to two groups of 40 observations each. Find the denominator degrees of freedom of the Chow F statistic.

Quick questions

1Which test has the null hypothesis that the series is stationary?
2A test for several structural breaks at dates not known in advance is
3In the Chow test the null hypothesis is that
4Klein's rule of thumb says collinearity is a problem when
5Which step comes straight after specifying the econometric model?
6Jarque-Bera tests the null that the errors have
10
Real questions

Past papers, by level

Standard

Restricted against unrestricted regressions, reading output, and statement questions, up to GATE and IIT JAM level.

12 questionsPractise →
All 12 past-paper questions for this lesson, easiest first: practise the full set →

✦These are questions from the TestStop bank. A free account answers 10 a day, each with its worked solution; All-Access opens every set with no daily limit.

One item, UGC NET June 2026 Q38, prints “Cornbetch alpha” for what is plainly Cronbach’s alpha, a measure of the internal consistency of a survey scale, and pairs it with “rationality of data”. The other three pairs are certain (Goldfeld-Quandt with heteroscedasticity, the F test with overall significance, Augmented Dickey-Fuller with stationarity), so the first pair is fixed by elimination and the key follows. Questions that pair a cross-tabulation, a contingency table or an F test for several means with a test belong to the statistics modules as well.

The hardest questions of the module, from the Delhi School, are collected in lesson 18.

← Lesson 16AR, MA, VAR, Granger causality and cointegrationLesson 18 →The hard problems: the Delhi School set

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