DSE 2010 Question 49: Probability and Bayes' theorem
Setup, from Q48 of the paper:
The number of loaves of bread sold by a bakery in a day is a random variable X with density f(x)=kx for x∈[0,5), f(x)=k(10−x) for x∈[5,10), and 0 for x≥10. As f is a probability density function, the value of k must be
(Same bakery density.) Let A be the event X≥5 and B the event X∈[3,8]. The probability of A conditional on B is
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Setup, from Q48 of the paper: The number of loaves of bread sold by a bakery in a day is a random variable X with density f(x)=kx for x∈[0,5), f(x)=k(10-x) for x∈[5,10), and 0 for x≥ 10. As f is a probability density function, the value of k must be (Same bakery density.) Let A be the event X≥ 5 and B the event X∈[3,8]. The probability of A conditional on B is (A) 16/37 (B) 21/37 (C) 25/37 (D) 1
Also written as: Setup, from Q48 of the paper: The number of loaves of bread sold by a bakery in a day is a random variable X with density f(x)=kx for x in [0,5), f(x)=k(10-x) for x in [5,10), and 0 for x>= 10. As f is a probability density function, the value of k must be (Same bakery density.) Let A be the event X>= 5 and B the event X in [3,8]. The probability of A conditional on B is
Probability and Bayes' theorem has come up 190 times in 7 exams since 2004.
What this question tests
This question is on Conditional probability and the multiplication rule, part of Probability and Bayes' theorem in Statistics.
Probabilities that change when you know something has happened.
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