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Questions › DSE › DSE 2008 › Q28
2 marksStatistics › Probability and Bayes' theorem › Total probability and Bayes' theoremModerateabout 3 min

DSE 2008 Question 28: Probability and Bayes' theorem

Suppose that 80% of all statisticians are shy, whereas only 15% of all economists are shy. Suppose also that 90% of the people at a large gathering are economists and the other 10% are statisticians. If you meet a shy person at random at the gathering, what is the probability that the person is a statistician?

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Suppose that 80% of all statisticians are shy, whereas only 15% of all economists are shy. Suppose also that 90% of the people at a large gathering are economists and the other 10% are statisticians. If you meet a shy person at random at the gathering, what is the probability that the person is a statistician? (A) 8/9 (B) 0.8 (C) .08 (D) 80/215

Probability and Bayes' theorem has come up 190 times in 7 exams since 2004.

What this question tests

This question is on Total probability and Bayes' theorem, part of Probability and Bayes' theorem in Statistics.

Reversing a conditional probability and updating beliefs from evidence.

TestStop has 22 past-paper questions on this subtopic.

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Question from the DSE 2008 paper. Solutions are TestStop's own. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any examination authority.