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Questions › DSE › DSE 2006 › Q47
2 marksStatistics › Probability and Bayes' theorem › Total probability and Bayes' theoremHardabout 4 min

DSE 2006 Question 47: Probability and Bayes' theorem

Two patients share a hospital room for two days. Suppose that, on any given day, a person independently picks up an airborne infection with probability 1/41/41/4. An individual who is infected on the first day will certainly pass it to the other patient on the second day. Once contracted, the infection stays for at least two days. What is the probability that both patients have contracted the infection by the end of the second day?

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Two patients share a hospital room for two days. Suppose that, on any given day, a person independently picks up an airborne infection with probability 1/4. An individual who is infected on the first day will certainly pass it to the other patient on the second day. Once contracted, the infection stays for at least two days. What is the probability that both patients have contracted the infection by the end of the second day? (A) 125/256 (B) 121/256 (C) 135/256 (D) 131/256

Probability and Bayes' theorem has come up 190 times in 7 exams since 2004.

What this question tests

This question is on Total probability and Bayes' theorem, part of Probability and Bayes' theorem in Statistics.

Reversing a conditional probability and updating beliefs from evidence.

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