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Questions › UGC-NET › UGC-NET 2025 › Q81
2 marksEconometrics › Binary-choice and time-series models › AR, MA and VAR modelsModerateabout 1 min

UGC-NET 2025 Question 81: Binary-choice and time-series models

Let {ϵt}\{\epsilon_t\}{ϵt​} be a purely random process with mean zero and variance σ2\sigma^2σ2. Consider:

A. A process {xt}\{x_t\}{xt​} defined by xt=α1xt−1+α2xt−2+⋯+αrxt−r+ϵtx_t = \alpha_1 x_{t-1} + \alpha_2 x_{t-2} + \dots + \alpha_r x_{t-r} + \epsilon_txt​=α1​xt−1​+α2​xt−2​+⋯+αr​xt−r​+ϵt​ is called an autoregressive process of order r
B. A process {xt}\{x_t\}{xt​} defined by xt=β0ϵt+β1ϵt−1+⋯+βmϵt−mx_t = \beta_0 \epsilon_t + \beta_1 \epsilon_{t-1} + \dots + \beta_m \epsilon_{t-m}xt​=β0​ϵt​+β1​ϵt−1​+⋯+βm​ϵt−m​ is called a moving average process of order m
C. A process {xt}\{x_t\}{xt​} defined by xt=β0ϵt+β1ϵt−1+⋯+βmϵt−mx_t = \beta_0 \epsilon_t + \beta_1 \epsilon_{t-1} + \dots + \beta_m \epsilon_{t-m}xt​=β0​ϵt​+β1​ϵt−1​+⋯+βm​ϵt−m​ is called an autoregressive process of order r
D. A process {xt}\{x_t\}{xt​} defined by xt=α1xt−1+α2xt−2+⋯+αrxt−r+ϵtx_t = \alpha_1 x_{t-1} + \alpha_2 x_{t-2} + \dots + \alpha_r x_{t-r} + \epsilon_txt​=α1​xt−1​+α2​xt−2​+⋯+αr​xt−r​+ϵt​ is called a moving average process of order m

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Let {ϵₜ} be a purely random process with mean zero and variance σ². Consider: A. A process {xₜ} defined by xₜ = α₁ xₜ₋₁ + α₂ xₜ₋₂ + … + αᵣ xₜ₋ᵣ + ϵₜ is called an autoregressive process of order r B. A process {xₜ} defined by xₜ = β₀ ϵₜ + β₁ ϵₜ₋₁ + … + βₘ ϵₜ₋ₘ is called a moving average process of order m C. A process {xₜ} defined by xₜ = β₀ ϵₜ + β₁ ϵₜ₋₁ + … + βₘ ϵₜ₋ₘ is called an autoregressive process of order r D. A process {xₜ} defined by xₜ = α₁ xₜ₋₁ + α₂ xₜ₋₂ + … + αᵣ xₜ₋ᵣ + ϵₜ is called a moving average process of order m (A) A and B only (B) A and D only (C) B and D only (D) C and D only

Also written as: Let {epsilon_t} be a purely random process with mean zero and variance sigma^2. Consider: A. A process {x_t} defined by x_t = alpha_1 x_(t-1) + alpha_2 x_(t-2) +... + alpha_r x_(t-r) + epsilon_t is called an autoregressive process of order r B. A process {x_t} defined by x_t = beta_0 epsilon_t + beta_1 epsilon_(t-1) +... + beta_m epsilon_(t-m) is called a moving average process of order m C. A process {x_t} defined by x_t = beta_0 epsilon_t + beta_1 epsilon_(t-1) +... + beta_m epsilon_(t-m) is called an autoregressive process of order r D. A process {x_t} defined by x_t = alpha_1 x_(t-1) + alpha_2 x_(t-2) +... + alpha_r x_(t-r) + epsilon_t is called a moving average process of order m

Binary-choice and time-series models has come up 14 times in 2 exams since 2023.

What this question tests

This question is on AR, MA and VAR models, part of Binary-choice and time-series models in Econometrics.

Time-series models built from a series' own past and from several series together.

TestStop has 2 past-paper questions on this subtopic.

Take this paper as a timed mockMore on AR, MA and VAR models

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