UGC-NET 2025 Question 81: Binary-choice and time-series models
Let {ϵt} be a purely random process with mean zero and variance σ2. Consider:
A. A process {xt} defined by xt=α1xt−1+α2xt−2+⋯+αrxt−r+ϵt is called an autoregressive process of order r
B. A process {xt} defined by xt=β0ϵt+β1ϵt−1+⋯+βmϵt−m is called a moving average process of order m
C. A process {xt} defined by xt=β0ϵt+β1ϵt−1+⋯+βmϵt−m is called an autoregressive process of order r
D. A process {xt} defined by xt=α1xt−1+α2xt−2+⋯+αrxt−r+ϵt is called a moving average process of order m
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Let {ϵₜ} be a purely random process with mean zero and variance σ². Consider: A. A process {xₜ} defined by xₜ = α₁ xₜ₋₁ + α₂ xₜ₋₂ + … + αᵣ xₜ₋ᵣ + ϵₜ is called an autoregressive process of order r B. A process {xₜ} defined by xₜ = β₀ ϵₜ + β₁ ϵₜ₋₁ + … + βₘ ϵₜ₋ₘ is called a moving average process of order m C. A process {xₜ} defined by xₜ = β₀ ϵₜ + β₁ ϵₜ₋₁ + … + βₘ ϵₜ₋ₘ is called an autoregressive process of order r D. A process {xₜ} defined by xₜ = α₁ xₜ₋₁ + α₂ xₜ₋₂ + … + αᵣ xₜ₋ᵣ + ϵₜ is called a moving average process of order m (A) A and B only (B) A and D only (C) B and D only (D) C and D only
Also written as: Let {epsilon_t} be a purely random process with mean zero and variance sigma^2. Consider: A. A process {x_t} defined by x_t = alpha_1 x_(t-1) + alpha_2 x_(t-2) +... + alpha_r x_(t-r) + epsilon_t is called an autoregressive process of order r B. A process {x_t} defined by x_t = beta_0 epsilon_t + beta_1 epsilon_(t-1) +... + beta_m epsilon_(t-m) is called a moving average process of order m C. A process {x_t} defined by x_t = beta_0 epsilon_t + beta_1 epsilon_(t-1) +... + beta_m epsilon_(t-m) is called an autoregressive process of order r D. A process {x_t} defined by x_t = alpha_1 x_(t-1) + alpha_2 x_(t-2) +... + alpha_r x_(t-r) + epsilon_t is called a moving average process of order m
Binary-choice and time-series models has come up 14 times in 2 exams since 2023.
What this question tests
This question is on AR, MA and VAR models, part of Binary-choice and time-series models in Econometrics.
Time-series models built from a series' own past and from several series together.
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