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Questions › JNU › JNU SSS 2018 › Q41
5 marksMacroeconomics › Inflation, unemployment and the Phillips curve › The expectations-augmented Phillips curveHardabout 10 min

JNU SSS 2018 Question 41: Inflation, unemployment and the Phillips curve

Suppose in an economy pt=pte+0⋅01−0⋅2utp_t = p^e_t + 0\cdot01 - 0\cdot2u_tpt​=pte​+0⋅01−0⋅2ut​ and pte=0⋅75pt−1p^e_t = 0\cdot75p_{t-1}pte​=0⋅75pt−1​, where ptp_tpt​ is the rate of inflation in period ttt, ptep^e_tpte​ is the expected rate of inflation in period ttt and utu_tut​ is the rate of unemployment in period t(t=1,2,3,⋯ )t(t = 1, 2, 3, \cdots)t(t=1,2,3,⋯). Suppose in period 1 expectations regarding inflation are realized and the unemployment rate in the economy remains constant from period 1 onwards. Answer the following questions :

(a) What is the value of the inflation rate in period 3 if p0=0⋅128p_0 = 0\cdot128p0​=0⋅128?

(b) What happens to the value of the inflation rate as t→∞t \to \inftyt→∞?

(c) For what value of the inflation rate in period 0, will the inflation rate in the economy remain constant from period 2 onwards?

Answer and worked solution

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Plain-text version

Suppose in an economy pₜ = p^eₜ + 0·01 - 0·2uₜ and p^eₜ = 0·75pₜ₋₁, where pₜ is the rate of inflation in period t, p^eₜ is the expected rate of inflation in period t and uₜ is the rate of unemployment in period t(t = 1, 2, 3, ⋯). Suppose in period 1 expectations regarding inflation are realized and the unemployment rate in the economy remains constant from period 1 onwards. Answer the following questions: (a) What is the value of the inflation rate in period 3 if p₀ = 0·128? (b) What happens to the value of the inflation rate as t → ∞? (c) For what value of the inflation rate in period 0, will the inflation rate in the economy remain constant from period 2 onwards?

Also written as: Suppose in an economy p_t = p^e_t + 0*01 - 0*2u_t and p^e_t = 0*75p_(t-1), where p_t is the rate of inflation in period t, p^e_t is the expected rate of inflation in period t and u_t is the rate of unemployment in period t(t = 1, 2, 3,...). Suppose in period 1 expectations regarding inflation are realized and the unemployment rate in the economy remains constant from period 1 onwards. Answer the following questions: (a) What is the value of the inflation rate in period 3 if p_0 = 0*128? (b) What happens to the value of the inflation rate as t -> inf? (c) For what value of the inflation rate in period 0, will the inflation rate in the economy remain constant from period 2 onwards?

Inflation, unemployment and the Phillips curve has come up 106 times in 7 exams since 2006.

What this question tests

This question is on The expectations-augmented Phillips curve, part of Inflation, unemployment and the Phillips curve in Macroeconomics.

How expected inflation shifts the trade-off and makes it vertical in the long run.

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Question from the JNU SSS 2018 paper. Solutions are TestStop's own. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any examination authority.