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Questions › IIT JAM › IIT JAM 2021 › Q14
2 marks, −0.667Statistics › Point and interval estimation › Properties of estimatorsModerateabout 2 min

IIT JAM 2021 Question 14: Point and interval estimation

Let α^1\hat\alpha_1α^1​ and α^2\hat\alpha_2α^2​ be independent unbiased estimators of α\alphaα with standard errors σ1\sigma_1σ1​ and σ2\sigma_2σ2​ (σ1≠σ2\sigma_1 \neq \sigma_2σ1​=σ2​). The linear combination of α^1\hat\alpha_1α^1​ and α^2\hat\alpha_2α^2​ that is unbiased for α\alphaα with minimum variance is

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Answer and worked solution

Answer: (D)

For a weighted average wα^1+(1−w)α^2w\hat\alpha_1 + (1-w)\hat\alpha_2wα^1​+(1−w)α^2​ of independent unbiased estimators, the variance is minimised by weighting each inversely to its own variance.

The optimal weight on α^1\hat\alpha_1α^1​ is σ22σ12+σ22\dfrac{\sigma_2^2}{\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2}σ12​+σ22​σ22​​ and on α^2\hat\alpha_2α^2​ is σ12σ12+σ22\dfrac{\sigma_1^2}{\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2}σ12​+σ22​σ12​​. This is option (D). The weights use variances σ2\sigma^2σ2, not the standard errors σ\sigmaσ.

The trap: (C) (σ12σ12+σ22)α^1+(σ22σ12+σ22)α^2\left(\dfrac{\sigma_1^2}{\sigma_1^2+\sigma_2^2}\right)\hat\alpha_1 + \left(\dfrac{\sigma_2^2}{\sigma_1^2+\sigma_2^2}\right)\hat\alpha_2(σ12​+σ22​σ12​​)α^1​+(σ12​+σ22​σ22​​)α^2​

Option (C) puts the larger weight on the noisier estimator; the efficient rule gives more weight to the estimator with the smaller variance, as in (D).

Plain-text version

Let α̂₁ and α̂₂ be independent unbiased estimators of α with standard errors σ₁ and σ₂ (σ₁ ≠ σ₂). The linear combination of α̂₁ and α̂₂ that is unbiased for α with minimum variance is (A) (σ₁/(σ₁+σ₂))α̂₁ + (σ₂/(σ₁+σ₂))α̂₂ (B) (σ₂/(σ₁+σ₂))α̂₁ + (σ₁/(σ₁+σ₂))α̂₂ (C) (σ₁²/(σ₁²+σ₂²))α̂₁ + (σ₂²/(σ₁²+σ₂²))α̂₂ (D) (σ₂²/(σ₁²+σ₂²))α̂₁ + (σ₁²/(σ₁²+σ₂²))α̂₂

Also written as: Let alpha_hat_1 and alpha_hat_2 be independent unbiased estimators of alpha with standard errors sigma_1 and sigma_2 (sigma_1 != sigma_2). The linear combination of alpha_hat_1 and alpha_hat_2 that is unbiased for alpha with minimum variance is

Point and interval estimation has come up 28 times in 6 exams since 2008.

What this question tests

This question is on Properties of estimators, part of Point and interval estimation in Statistics.

What makes an estimator good: unbiased, consistent and efficient.

TestStop has 9 past-paper questions on this subtopic; the nearest in year are below.

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