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Questions › DSE › DSE 2021 › Q36
4 marks, −1Macroeconomics › Inflation, unemployment and the Phillips curve › The expectations-augmented Phillips curveHardabout 3 min

DSE 2021 Question 36: Inflation, unemployment and the Phillips curve

The Phillips curve relation for an economy is πt−πte=0.1−3ut\pi_t - \pi_t^e = 0.1 - 3u_tπt​−πte​=0.1−3ut​ where πte=πt−1\pi_t^e = \pi_{t-1}πte​=πt−1​. Suppose inflation in year (t−1)(t-1)(t−1) is 2 percent. In year ttt, the central bank decides to keep the unemployment rate at 3 percent forever. Find the rate of inflation for years ttt, t+1t+1t+1, t+2t+2t+2 and t+3t+3t+3. (Notation: actual inflation πt\pi_tπt​, expected inflation πte\pi_t^eπte​, unemployment utu_tut​.)

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The Phillips curve relation for an economy is πₜ - πₜ^e = 0.1 - 3uₜ where πₜ^e = πₜ₋₁. Suppose inflation in year (t-1) is 2 percent. In year t, the central bank decides to keep the unemployment rate at 3 percent forever. Find the rate of inflation for years t, t+1, t+2 and t+3. (Notation: actual inflation πₜ, expected inflation πₜ^e, unemployment uₜ .) (A) 1%, 2%, 3% and 4% respectively (B) 2%, 3%, 4% and 5% respectively (C) 3%, 4%, 5% and 6% respectively (D) 2%, 4%, 5% and 6% respectively

Also written as: The Phillips curve relation for an economy is pi_t - pi_t^e = 0.1 - 3u_t where pi_t^e = pi_(t-1). Suppose inflation in year (t-1) is 2 percent. In year t, the central bank decides to keep the unemployment rate at 3 percent forever. Find the rate of inflation for years t, t+1, t+2 and t+3. (Notation: actual inflation pi_t, expected inflation pi_t^e, unemployment u_t .)

Inflation, unemployment and the Phillips curve has come up 106 times in 7 exams since 2006.

What this question tests

This question is on The expectations-augmented Phillips curve, part of Inflation, unemployment and the Phillips curve in Macroeconomics.

How expected inflation shifts the trade-off and makes it vertical in the long run.

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Question from the DSE 2021 paper. Solutions are TestStop's own. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any examination authority.