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Questions › DSE › DSE 2015 › Q17
1 mark, −0.333333333333333Macroeconomics › Business cycles and rational expectations › Rational expectations and the Lucas critiqueHardabout 4 min

DSE 2015 Question 17: Business cycles and rational expectations

With Ct=αYteC_t=\alpha Y^e_tCt​=αYte​ (0<α<10<\alpha<10<α<1) and It=γ(Yte)2I_t=\gamma(Y^e_t)^2It​=γ(Yte​)2 (γ>0\gamma>0γ>0), output is demand-determined (Yt=Ct+ItY_t=C_t+I_tYt​=Ct​+It​). Under static expectations, starting from any Y0≠1−αγY_0\ne\tfrac{1-\alpha}{\gamma}Y0​=γ1−α​, in the long run actual output

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With Cₜ=α Y^eₜ (0<α<1) and Iₜ=γ(Y^eₜ)² (γ>0), output is demand-determined (Yₜ=Cₜ+Iₜ). Under static expectations, starting from any Y₀≠(1-α)/γ, in the long run actual output (A) will always go to zero (B) will always go to infinity (C) will always go to a finite positive value (1-α)/γ (D) will go to zero or infinity depending on whether Y₀> or <(1-α)/γ

Also written as: With C_t=alpha Y^e_t (0<alpha<1) and I_t=gamma(Y^e_t)^2 (gamma>0), output is demand-determined (Y_t=C_t+I_t). Under static expectations, starting from any Y_0!=(1-alpha)/gamma, in the long run actual output

Business cycles and rational expectations has come up 21 times in 5 exams since 2010.

What this question tests

This question is on Rational expectations and the Lucas critique, part of Business cycles and rational expectations in Macroeconomics.

How expectations formed with all available information change what policy can do.

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Question from the DSE 2015 paper. Solutions are TestStop's own. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any examination authority.