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At a glance/Stories/Inflation waterfall
Prices · Story

What is driving inflation? Food, housing, jewellery and the rest, month by month

CPI inflation was 5.54% in September 2026. Food and beverages, 36.75% of what a household buys, supplied 2.71 points of it, about 49%. Personal care and jewellery, only 5.04% of the basket, supplied 0.74 points because its prices rose 13.8%.

Headline CPI inflation
5.54%
Food and beverages36.75% of the basket · prices up 7.4%
+2.71
Personal care and jewellery5.04% of the basket · prices up 13.8%
+0.74
Housing and fuel17.67% of the basket · prices up 2.8%
+0.47
Transport8.8% of the basket · prices up 5.0%
+0.43
Restaurants and hotels3.35% of the basket · prices up 9.4%
+0.32
Clothing6.38% of the basket · prices up 3.9%
+0.26
Tobacco and paan2.99% of the basket · prices up 4.8%
+0.14
Household goods4.47% of the basket · prices up 3.1%
+0.14
Education3.33% of the basket · prices up 3.9%
+0.13
Communication3.61% of the basket · prices up 2.4%
+0.09
Health6.1% of the basket · prices up 1.4%
+0.09
Recreation1.52% of the basket · prices up 2.2%
+0.03
Headline inflationThe twelve parts add up to 5.55; MoSPI publishes 5.54 (rounding of the indices)
5.54
Percentage points of year-on-year inflation. Weight × the change in that part's index, over the headline index a year earlier.

Month by month in 2026

Food and beveragesHousing and fuelTransportPersonal care and jewelleryEverything else-1012345672.7Jan 263.2Feb 263.4Mar 263.5Apr 263.9May 264.4Jun 264.5Jul 264.8Aug 265.5Sept 26
Percentage points of year-on-year CPI inflation, by group of the basket. The figure above each bar is headline inflation.
Food2.71 pts

Up from 0.78 in January 2026. Food prices rose 7.4% over the year to September 2026.

Everything except food2.83 pts

The other eleven parts together supplied 2.83 of the 5.54 points, with housing and fuel adding 0.47 despite a 17.67% weight, because their prices rose only 2.8%.

Jewellery and personal care0.74 pts

A 5.04% weight and 13.8% price rise. The division includes jewellery, so gold and silver prices move it.

How to read it

A price rise matters to inflation in proportion to how much households spend on it. Each division's contribution is its weight times how much its index rose, divided by the headline index a year earlier, and the twelve contributions add up to headline inflation exactly. That is why a small item with a big price rise, like jewellery, can matter as much as a large item with a small one, like rent.

The weights are MoSPI's for the 2024-base index, the share of a typical household's spending at the base. As a check, weighting MoSPI's August 2026 division indices with them gives 108.74, the all-India index MoSPI published, and the breakdown reproduces the published inflation rate in each of the nine months shown.

The RBI's target is headline CPI, but it also watches “core” inflation, which leaves out food and fuel, as the clue to underlying pressure: food and fuel prices swing with the monsoon and world oil, and a higher repo rate does not change them quickly. The atlas does not compute core, which needs weights below the division level that this page does not have. What you can see here is how much of headline inflation comes from food on its own, and how much does not.

Rural and urban baskets differ, and so does each state's. This is all-India, rural and urban combined, on the 2024 base that began with January 2025 data, so inflation can be shown from January 2026, once a year-ago month exists. The atlas's CPI page carries the headline series and the earlier 2012 base.

Keep reading
Where ₹100 comes from and goesFollow one hundred rupees through the Union Budget 2026-27: the taxes and borrowing that pay for it, and the interest, transfers to states, defence and schemes it pays for, compared with last year.What ₹100 buys todayPick any year since 1961 and see what ₹100 then buys now, built from the World Bank's annual consumer price inflation for India, with the decades that hurt most marked.Policy time machineDrag through time and watch the RBI's repo rate, CPI inflation against the 2 to 6% band, GDP growth and the rupee move together, with the big moments marked. Coincidence is not causation.Output versus jobsAgriculture is under a fifth of India's output but employs over two in five workers, while services make more than half of output with under a third of the jobs. What that gap says about productivity and structural change.
Numbers last checked · 2026-10-22
Source · MoSPI, Consumer Price Index (2024 base): division indices, all India, rural and urban combined (eSankhyiki)
Source · MoSPI, CPI press release annexures, August 2026: division indices, inflation and the 2024-base division weights
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